Oil rig dispute could see repeat of Sino-Vietnamese War: report

Breaking News today that a Chinese vessel as rammed and sunk a
Vietnamese fishing boat. All countries in the South China Sea and
East China Sea are using fishing boats in a game of cat-and-mouse
to challenge each other on their respective areas. This time the
mouse got caught. 20 Chinese were recently slaughtered in Vietnam
in anti-China protests. This is something even the Chinese government
is afraid to highlight lest the Chinese population hits the streets
demanded retribution. Of course you will hear nothing about it in the
Western media.

My prediction: China will smash Vietnamese military posts before the
end of 2014 if Vietnam does not backdown. It figures, despite Vietnam
being included in the “Asian-Pivot” the U.S. will not be in a position
to support Vietnam like they would Japan. It will also be a lesson to
other Asian countries who are planning on joining the Anti-China bloc
now being set-up by the Americans.

Want China Times
Escalating tensions between China and Vietnam has the world wondering
whether the Sino-Vietnamese War of 1979 could repeat itself in 2014,
according to the latest edition of the Chinese-language international
affairs newsweekly Yazhou Zhoukan.

More than 7,000 Chinese citizens have already been evacuated from
Vietnam since anti-China riots broke out as a result of a standoff
between Chinese and Vietnamese naval ships near a Chinese oil rig in
disputed waters off the Paracel Islands in the South China Sea on
May 4.

The initial demonstrations against China on May 11 were peaceful and
widely speculated to have been tacitly approved by the Vietnamese
government, which did not envision that another wave of protests on
May 13 would turn violent and spiral out of control beyond the
containment capabilities of public security authorities.

The violence led Vietnamese prime minister Nguyen Tan Dung to send
out a mass text message calling for calm to all mobile phone subscribers
of state-owned operators.

Varying reports suggest that at least 25 people died during the riots
as dozens of Chinese, Taiwanese and Hong Kong factories were damaged or
burned down. One report said the deceased included a Chinese worker at
the Taiwanese bicycle seat manufacturer DDk Group, a Vietnamese police
officer, and 18 other Chinese nationals, 16 of which were factory workers
at contract manufacturing plants for Taiwan’s Formosa Plastics, which
also saw the death of five of its Vietnamese employees.

Another account said that a steel plant run by state-owned China
Metallurgical Group Corporation in north central Vietnam’s Ha Tinh
province reported 130 people injured, 23 of which were in serious
condition, and four deaths.

Numerous Taiwanese wood processing factories reported severe losses
totaling millions of US dollars as nearly a thousand businesses were
said to have been affected. Local Vietnamese enterprises were also hit
hard due to breaks in the production chain after Chinese and Taiwanese
companies were forced to suspend operations.

While the riots have been suppressed, tensions between the two countries
remain high as China has refused to budge over the Haiyang 981 oil rig.
Recent reports claim that a large number of People’s Liberation Army troops
have been deployed to the border at Pingxiang in southern China’s Guangxi
Zhuang autonomous region,where the brief 1979 Sino-Vietnamese War first broke
out, after anti-China protests forced Beijing to evacuate Chinese nationals.

As of May 20, China still had 90 vessels guarding the oil rig, with reports
that the Chinese coast guard drove away at least two Vietnamese maritime
security vessels away from the region.

Chinese defense minister Chang Wanquan has warned Vietnam not to make repeated
mistakes and to look at the bigger picture of Sino-Vietnamese friendship.
During a meeting with his Vietnamese counterpart Phung Quang Thanh last week,
Chang condemned Vietnam’s recent disruption of China’s “routine” and
“legitimate” oil drilling and called on Hanoi to “respect history” and “face

In a visit to the United States earlier this month, PLA general Fang Fenghui
also declared that the disputed territory had been “passed down by our ancestors”
and that China would not concede “an inch” in the dispute.

With neither side willing to back down, there are growing concerns that the dispute
over the location of the oil rig could turn into a military conflict. Experts believe,
however, that if there is a conflict it will be likely erupt on the seas near the
oil rig and not on land near the Sino-Vietnamese border.


  1. David Chu says:

    What’s the historical reason for the hatred of the Chinese by the Vietnamese? That the Chinese work hard and become wealthy in Vietnam like elsewhere in Southeast Asia?

    • D.Collins says:

      Not sure there is “historical hatred” in Vietnam about China, although they
      did fight a war in 76′. I think with China’s rise it has everyone spooked
      who borders the country. Think about Mongolia, your sitting on a space the
      size of Western Europe with massive amounts of coal, gold, and ore. Your entire
      population is 2.5 million, which would be classified as a small town in China.
      Vietnam can do nothing against China militarily so they stoked public
      outrage. It backfired and got way out of control. Taiwanese business got hit hard
      and they are the second largest investors in the country behind Japan. Stupid move
      on Vietnam’s part.

      • David Chu says:

        I don’t think ANY Asian countries can do anything against China militarily, including Japan which is a US occupied country that is spent financially and economically (they are not even on that top tourist list that you have). That’s why they are all crying on Uncle Sam’s shoulder for more military aid and cooperation. TPP is not going to save any of them.

        Mongolia is sandwiched between Russia and China, so no amount of nice promises and visits from the Pentagon or CIA is going to help them in their geopolitical plight. If they are smart, they would keep their mouth shut and be really nice and friendly with both Russia and China. If they are stupid and don’t understand geography or history, they will get the Polish treatment or what will happen to the Baltic countries.

        • D.Collins says:

          Right on. My thoughts exactly.
          You should write some stuff for the site.
          Be our first outside columnist. (Other than myself)

  2. Phuong Anh Nguyen says:

    What do you mean by : ” China will smash Vietnamese military posts before the end of 2014 if Vietnam does not backdown”? Why do you think it will happen?

    • D.Collins says:

      What will happen will all depend on what Vietnam does. The U.S. can not possibly back-up Vietnam politically.
      At the same time, China will do everything they can to not portray themselves as an aggressive power. However,
      if Vietnam sends military aircraft or vessels around the oil rig, I expect China will have no issues with destroying
      them. Vietnam will lose face with their own people. They are in a tough situation politically.

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